2011–2020
Proxy wars and renewed great power rivalry.
Syrian Civil War
The hopes of the Arab Spring turned grim in Syria. Peaceful protests in 2011 against President Bashar al-Assad were met with violent crackdowns, sparking the Syrian Civil War.
Multiple factions battled for control: the Assad regime backed by Russia and Iran; moderate rebels supported by the US and Gulf states; and extremist groups like Al-Nusra Front and later, ISIS.
In 2015, Russia intervened militarily, turning the tide in Assad’s favor with airstrikes and advisors. Meanwhile, humanitarian disasters unfolded: cities like Aleppo and Homs were devastated, chemical attacks shocked the world, and millions fled as refugees.
The war entangled regional and global powers and transformed Syria into a bloody example of how revolutionary hopes can collapse into protracted proxy warfare.
By the decade’s end, Assad had regained most major cities, but Syria remained fractured, occupied by rival forces, and haunted by human and physical ruin.
Rise and Fall of ISIS
Out of Syria’s chaos and postwar Iraq emerged the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), also known as ISIL or Daesh. Originally an offshoot of Al-Qaeda in Iraq, ISIS broke away and declared a caliphate in 2014, seizing cities like Mosul and Raqqa.
ISIS used extreme brutality — mass executions, enslavement, cultural destruction — to control territory and spread fear. Its slick online propaganda attracted thousands of foreign fighters from around the world.
A US-led coalition launched massive airstrikes and supported local Kurdish and Iraqi forces to reclaim occupied lands. Fierce urban battles from 2016–2019 gradually dismantled the caliphate’s hold.
By 2019, the last territorial foothold fell. However, ISIS morphed back into an insurgency, with affiliates surviving in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia.
The group’s rise and fall underscored how failed states and sectarian divides can breed global threats — and how hard it is to stamp out radical ideologies entirely.
Russia’s Intervention in Ukraine and Syria
Russia reasserted itself as a global power through decisive interventions. In 2014, pro-European protests toppled Ukraine’s Moscow-friendly president, sparking the annexation of Crimea by Russia — the first forcible border change in Europe since WWII.
Pro-Russian separatists, backed covertly by Moscow, fought the Ukrainian government in the Donbas region. Western nations imposed sanctions, but fighting dragged on, freezing relations between Russia and NATO allies.
Meanwhile, Russia’s 2015 military intervention in Syria salvaged Assad’s regime, secured long-term naval and air bases, and cemented Russian influence in the Middle East.
Russia’s bold moves signaled a return to great power politics. Cyber operations and disinformation campaigns further showed Moscow’s willingness to challenge the Western-led order by unconventional means.
Putin’s actions revitalized nationalist pride at home but deepened East-West mistrust and set the stage for new standoffs.
North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Tests
In East Asia, North Korea under Kim Jong-un dramatically expanded its nuclear and missile arsenal. By the mid-2010s, it tested powerful nuclear devices and launched ICBMs theoretically capable of reaching the US mainland.
In 2017, rhetorical threats between Kim and President Donald Trump escalated fears of war. Surprisingly, diplomacy followed: the two leaders held historic summits in 2018 and 2019.
However, talks produced few concrete results. Sanctions remained, and North Korea continued missile tests to demonstrate it would not surrender its nuclear deterrent.
Pyongyang’s defiance highlighted how nuclear-armed rogue states could leverage weapons for security and bargaining power in a world struggling to prevent proliferation.
The standoff remains unresolved, keeping Northeast Asia on edge into the next decade.
India–Pakistan Skirmishes and Nuclear Brinkmanship
In South Asia, old foes India and Pakistan — both nuclear-armed — continued dangerous skirmishes, especially over Kashmir.
In 2016, militants attacked an Indian army base at Uri, prompting cross-border strikes by India. In February 2019, a suicide bombing killed over 40 Indian paramilitary police in Pulwama.
India blamed Pakistan-based militants and launched airstrikes inside Pakistan — the first since 1971. Pakistan retaliated with air operations, and both nations claimed aerial victories, briefly bringing South Asia to the brink of wider war.
Despite de-escalation, tensions simmered. Both sides modernized arsenals, and nationalist politics fueled hardline stances on both sides of the Line of Control.
The India–Pakistan rivalry reminded the world that in the nuclear age, local disputes could still ignite crises with global consequences.